Gold prices change their course for the second time and turn lower.. What are the reasons? Powered by


© Reuters. – Updated at 15:02 GMT

Gold fell again after turning higher a short time ago, coinciding with the release of the Michigan index data and the rise of the dollar to the highest level of 102 points.

An initial reading showed a decline to 57.7 in May. Economists expect the May reading to be 63.0, which will be lower than the previous reading of 63.5.

In May, it recorded a rise of 4.5%, while expectations were for a rise of 4.4%, and the previous reading had recorded 4.6%.

The poll also showed that futures rose to 3.2 percent, near the highest level since June 2008.

It fell by 0.18% to 2017 dollars.

While it decreased by 0.17% at 2012 dollars an ounce.

Updated at 13:43 GMT

Gold prices turned upward during these moments of trading today, Friday, as the yellow metal was in a descending range.

Futures are now up 0.2% at $2,025 an ounce.

While spot contracts rose by 0.22%, to 2019 dollars an ounce.

Gold prices fell today, Friday, coinciding with the decline in the dollar index, however, continued economic concerns and the US debt ceiling crisis mitigated the decline in bullion.

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It fell by 0.3% to 2015 dollars.

While it decreased by 0.25% at 2010 dollars an ounce.

It decreased by 0.06%, at 101.81 points.


Gold for settlement

Gold prices settled lower on Thursday, as investors assessed comments that could indicate continued tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve.

Metal prices were affected today by the recovery of the US dollar, in addition to economic data in China that raised concerns about demand.

Upon settlement, gold futures fell 0.8%, or $16.6, to $2020.5 an ounce.

What drives prices?

Brian Lahn, managing director at GoldSilver Central, said that as investors dig into the uncertainties surrounding the debt talks and anticipate a pause in rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, there appears to be some profit-taking driving prices lower.

Gold rose on Thursday after data showed a jump in weekly jobless claims and a smaller-than-expected annual increase in producer prices last month in more than two years, but the metal closed lower as the dollar gained the upper hand, making bullion more expensive for foreign buyers.

Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, said that tight monetary policy may be necessary for a long time, although higher interest rates and the inversion of the yield curve may put more pressure on banks, but they will be necessary if inflation remains high.

Meanwhile, the debt ceiling meeting between US President Joe Biden and top lawmakers has been postponed to early next week.

Safe haven bullion tends to increase in times of economic or financial uncertainty, while low interest also raises the attractiveness of a non-yielding asset.

Ilya Spivak, head of global macroeconomics at Tastylive, said that markets have essentially priced in the idea that the Fed may be done with raising rates, but that traders are still looking for clear indications of the rate path.

Markets are currently pricing in an 87.1% chance for the US central bank to hold rates at their current level in June.

Central banks and gold

Separately, ANZ Bank said in a note that it expects central banks in developing economies to continue to demand gold to protect their foreign exchange reserves.

“Demand for physical gold appears to be picking up as consumers adjust to higher prices. Returning demand in India could lift gold buying there in the second half of this year,” the bank added.

gold to where?

Economists at UBS Bank expected that the US would suffer further weakness, which would raise gold prices to $2,200 by March 2024.

The Swiss bank said: “With the Federal Reserve pausing to raise interest rates temporarily, while other central banks – including the European Central Bank – continue to tighten, we expect the US dollar to weaken further this year. The Fed is likely to cut rates interest sooner than other major central banks.”

The bank concluded its forecast, saying: “The weak dollar would support gold, and we expect the yellow metal’s price to rise to $2,200 by March 2024.”

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